Regression has hit! My workload that is. Instead of skipping some of the early games, I threw out some short factoids with the exception of a few of the more interesting games. That's likely going to be the procedure going forward. All main slate daily fantasy games will still be fully covered in addition to some other games or pitchers of interest. I may even go back and add information to some of the shorter ones, time permitting on Wednesday. Five more to get to plus DFS notes as well.
Stats are through Monday with a Legend at the bottom of the page.
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Angels @ Pirates
While Jose Soriano only walked one of 24 Guardians last time out, he also struck out just three and only four of his last 36 batters. His 98 mph fastball gets a mere 39 Pitching Bot grade and is worth -3.4 RV/100 precisely because he can’t find the plate often enough to make it work, get ahead and make batters chase his other pitches. The only good news is that he’s generating 58.2% of his contact on his ground and gives himself a chance to erase some of those walks, while if he ever puts it together, pitch modeling likes the overall offerings (105 Stuff+).
Opp wRC+: 76 (81 Home, 58 L7days)
DEF: -5.5
B30: 4.21
Down to an 18 K% (7.7 SwStr%) with a 47.6% hard contact rate, Martin Perez has actually pitched nowhere near his 3.15 ERA. Yet, with just two of 10 barrels leaving the park, his FIP (3.37) is two runs below his actual xERA (5.38). Part of that is because Pittsburgh dampens right-handed power, but with a 73 Stuff+ grade, part of it seems particularly fortunate too.
Opp wRC+: 99 (82 L7days w/o Trout)
DEF: -9
B30: 4.07
It’s reasonable to consider attacking this a number of ways with moneylines or run totals, but I’m not seeing the big Pittsburgh edge that makes the Angels a dog here (+114). It’s not the pitching matchup. It’s not the offense, even without Trout. It’s certainly not the defense and the bullpen has only been slightly better. I chose the Angels full game here, which offers the best price, but game and team (LAA) run total overs seem fine here too without any particular weather information.
Update 11:45 EST: Hitter friendly weather. Top of the LAA lineup is disgusting and, as such, a 1.23% loss on LAA (+114 to +120). The analysis above still stands.
Blue Jays @ Phillies
Chris Bassitt has an 11% walk rate. He hasn’t been above 7.7% since 2018 in Oakland.
Opp wRC+: 113 (111 Home, 120 L7days)
DEF: 12.5
B30: 4.61
Aaron Nola his throwing his curveball more than any other pitch (31.1%, 0.9 RV/100). PitchingBot gives it a 69 grade and it’s a pitch the Blue Jays are bottom 10 in the league against (-0.19 wCU/C).
Opp wRC+: 92 (90 Road, 70 L7days)
DEF: 0
B30: 3.61
Update 11:55 EST: Hitter friendly weather. Line movement towards Philadelphia. Not hating an over on their run total (4.5 -113), but deciding not to go there myself.
Tigers @ Guardians
With a 52.1 GB%, Reese Olson has allowed 6.4% Barrels/BBE, but a 46.8% hard contact rate.
Opp wRC+: 99 (19.4 K%)
DEF: -2
B30: 4.19
Tanner Bibee has a pitch mix that matches up really well with the Tigers. He has a 61 grade changeup (19.6%, 5 RV/100) and 57 grade slider (27.9%, 1.1 RV/100) via PitchingBot. The Tigers are 29th (-1.75 wCH/C) and 19th (-0.52 wSL/C) against those pitches respectively.
Opp wRC+: 90 (83 Road)
DEF: 3
B30: 2.86
Update 12 EST: Temps in mid-to-upper 70s. Line movement towards Tigers. Cleveland inserting three RHBs into the lineup. Seems more like an early game mid-week thing than an intentional method of attack. Olson does not have a reverse split. Canha & Vierling out for the Tigers, McKinstry and Ibanez in. Bibee has no real split.
Mets @ Cardinals
The 5.5 K-BB% is not only a career worst for Jose Quintana, but he hasn’t been in single digits since his rookie season in 2012.
Opp wRC+: 70 (85 Home, 71 L7days)
DEF: -1
B30: 3.26
Sonny Gray doesn’t have a single estimator reaching three. Four of the six runs he’s allowed this year came in a single inning against the Mets.
Opp wRC+: 103 (20.4 K%)
DEF: -1
B30: 3.22
Update 12:10 EST: Line movement towards Mets. Cards with more guys out than Mets. Three LHBs against Quintana's, who's split is very small. Mendoza continues to love himself some Joey Wendle. Already delayed, this could be a washout.
Brewers @ Royals
Fourteen of the 20 runs Joe Ross has allowed have come in a pair of home starts against the Padres and Yankees.
Opp wRC+: 98 (18.4 K%)
DEF: 5.5
B30: 3.96
Brady Singer is elevating his sinker arm side, while also locating it down and away glove side, giving hitters a pair of different looks along with his slider. This has helped increase his slider whiff rate to 41.1%, the highest mark of his career.
Opp wRC+: 120 (112 Road)
DEF: 11.5
B30: 4.11
Update 12:50 EST: A lot of news here, starting with a hitter friendly umpire. Biggest news is the return of Christian Yelich. A lot of changes to the Milwaukee lineup overall. Both teams with six LHBs today, but Ross actually has a reverse split this year that doesn't make sense, while Singer hardly has any since last year. Sal Perez is out.
Padres @ Cubs
Dylan Cease has walked two or fewer in five of his seven starts and is down to a career low 8.7 BB% to go with a 121 Stuff+ grade.
Opp wRC+: 97
DEF: 3
B30: 3.41
Rather than talk about Hayden Wesneski’s pair of starts, I want to focus on the San Diego offense because of course they’re so much better without Juan Soto. They have the second best offense against RHP behind only the Dodgers and the third best road wRC+ in baseball behind the Dodgers and Orioles.
Opp wRC+: 123 (121 Road, 143 L7days)
DEF: -7.5
B30: 4.07
Update 1 EST: Swanson out. Very slight pitcher friendly weather (60s w/ light wind in).
Marlins @ Dodgers
Ryan Weathers threw his second quality start of the season, but it was the worst of it’s kind with three runs over six innings in Oakland. In three of his previous four starts, he failed to strike out more batters than he’s walked. With his increased velocity trending downward since the season started, Weathers has just a 9.8 K-BB% with a 4.43 SIERA the only estimator below his 4.54 ERA. Pitch modeling is a bit kinder, generating a 4.02 Bot ERA and 98 Stuff+ that suggests league average is possible. However, the sweeper (21.4%) gets just a 32 grade (PB), which could be deadly against the Dodgers, the sixth best offense in baseball against sliders (0.59 wSL/C)
Opp wRC+: 127 (140 Home, 153 L7days)
DEF: -12
B30: 3.98
Gavin Stone has a 7.6 K-BB% that’s worse than Weathers, despite quality starts in three of his last four outings (3.3 K-BB% over that span). His fortune, if you consider a 4.06 ERA that, is mostly the product of a 5.6 HR/FB, but it also matches his 4.04 xERA with just five barrels allowed. Pitch modeling is actually less optimistic about Stone (4.49 Bot ERA, 94 Stuff+) than Weathers.
Opp wRC+: 88 (78 Road)
DEF: 6
B30: 3.85
The weather at Dodger Stadium is generally stable enough that I don’t have to wait to see it’s potential effects on the game where I want to play an over. But, is it over the game total, over the Dodger total or over the F5? This is what I’m having most trouble deciding. I have initially sided with the Dodger total (5.5 +108), but could add more in another direction on Wednesday. (Follow RockyJade on Actoin Network for quicker info dumps.)
Update 2:15 EST: No Will Smith, but a hitter friendly umpire (Marquez), yet the price on the Dodger total has only grown slightly more attractive (+110), go figure.
Rangers @ Athletics
Michael Lorenzen has kept 53.2% of his contact on the ground, allowing just two barrels (both to the Braves), despite a 40.3% hard hit rate. The bigger problem is in a 5.4 K-BB% that has all of his estimators more than half a run above his 3.52 ERA. Pitch modeling gives him no reprieve with only a slider he throws a bit less than a quarter of the time reaching a 50 PB grade with a 4.62 Bot ERA and 96 Stuff+ grade overall.
Opp wRC+: 94 (140 L7days)
DEF: 10
B30: 3.64
Quality starts without a run allowed in three of his last five starts for J.P. Sears, including in Texas earlier in the season. The sweeper (30.3%, 1.6 RV/100, 66 PB grade) is the standout pitch in an arsenal that sports a 3.12 Bot ERA and 104 Stuff+. He’s struck out just 18.9%, which pushes all of his estimators around a half run above his 3.89 ERA, but when you consider an 11 SwStr% to go with a league average CStr%, it’s not that improvement IS coming, it’s that it already has with a 24.3 K% since striking out just one in each of his first two starts.
Opp wRC+: 78 (18.8 K-BB%)
DEF: -4
B30: 3.05
I absolutely like the A’s here as a dog. The problem is that I need to make sure these are two pitchers for the first game, which means I have to wait for tomorrow and hope the line doesn’t change.
Update 2:55 EST: A's going right-handed heavy (seven) against Lorenzen's reverse split makes me like them even more despite the line drop to even.
Diamondbacks @ Reds
Instead of increasing, Jordan Montgomery’s velocity continues to decrease (91.6, 91.4, 91.4), now nearly two mph below last season. The Dodgers smoked him. The good news is that he’s still only allowed three barrels (5.5%), but with a 6.0 K-BB%. Montgomery is down to a 91 Stuff+ grade (though 100 Pitching+). Estimators are all below his 5.63 ERA, but above four and a half.
Opp wRC+: 80 (81 Home, 12 L7days) (includes Tuesday stats)
DEF: 6
B30: 4.74
We thought we might finally be getting that strikeout increase from Graham Ashcraft, but just 11 of his last 73 without a double digit SwStr% in any of his last three starts after being above 12% in each of his first three starts. It almost seems like a conscious effort to stop missing bats. A 14.2 K-BB% on the season with a 52.3% ground ball rate, but 45% hard contact has all estimators within half a run of his 3.63 ERA with only his FIP and xERA barely reaching four. A 111 Stuff+ grade actually increases to 122 over his last three starts. I don’t get it. It’s not like his ground ball or hard hit rates improved drastically.
Opp wRC+: 85 (20.4 K%)
DEF: -9
B30: 4.09
DFS Notes: We get a little bit of everything on a seven game slate. One dome game, one potential washout and weather effects spanning a wide spectrum. Five teams below four runs, but also five above 4.75 implied runs. Oh, and an early starting slate. Let’s see what kind of lineups we can assemble here.
Unfortunately, this is the potential washout. The good news is that we’re (well, I am…I don’t know about you) uninterested in pitching here. With both teams at 4.5 runs in an otherwise great park to hit in there are some bats worth playing here. On both sides. Corbin Carroll (129 wRC+, .227 ISO v RHP since LY) seems to be finding his stroke again back at the top of the order. The entire top five (lineup already confirmed) all have at least a .190 ISO v RHP since last year. Batters from either side are between a .317 and .353 wOBA and xwOBA against Ashcraft since last year. RHBs are up to .310/.322 against Montgomery since last season and he just doesn’t look right. Tyler Stephenson (103 wRC+, .278 ISO v LHP since LY) is a great catcher value if in the top half of the order, maybe the top one. I’d beware the weather he and the rest of the Cincinnati lineup has either been below average against LHP since last year or struggled overall the last 30 days.
Update 3:25 EST: India in the leadoff spot, hasn't performed, but he's cheap.
Orioles @ Nationals
Kyle Bradish looked great in his return from an elbow issue. He struck out five of 21 Yankees, the velocity was fine, he received a 109 Stuff+ grade, 107 Pitching+ and 2.83 Bot ERA. He had just a one-third hard contact rate with all estimators below four. Bradish looks to build off an 18.5 K-BB% last season. We may have to worry about the injury worsening, but it doesn’t look like we have to worry about performance so far .
Opp wRC+: 100 (includes Tuesday)
DEF: 3.5
B30: 3.49
Mitchell Parker continues to saw through strong offenses (LAD, HOU, TEX), though some of those are a bit less potent against LHP. It’s tough to deny the 17.4 K-BB% with just 6.3% Barrels/BBE through four starts against tough competition though. The 9.7 SwStr%, 92.5 Z-Contact% and 95 Stuff+ grade are all caution flags, though he doesn’t have a single estimator (outside a 4.26 Bot ERA) reaching three and a half. Let’s see how he deals with another juggernaut.
Opp wRC+: 138 (114 Road)
DEF: -3.5
B30: 3.45
DFS Notes: Temps in the 80s with a near 10 mph wind out to right. Hitting weather here. We don’t want to attack Bradish, but he’s not cheap and the Nats don’t strike out a ton. Limited value here. Their 3.68 implied run line is third lowest on the board though. I can’t get into Mitchell for $8K or more in this deadly spot, but I’m also treading carefully with Orioles despite the 4.82 run total (fifth), though some exposure in multis is necessary. Mountcastle (182 wRC+, .305 ISO) and Rutschman (178, .205) are the top bats against southpaws since last season. The top of the Washington pen has been used some in recent days (two of three for Finnegan and Harvey).
White Sox @ Rays
Chris Flexen is coming off his best start of the season, holding the Twins to a pair of runs over five innings, striking out four of 20 batters, increasing his Stuff+ grade from 35 to 52. Is that even good? I don’t know. Interesting to see that he hasn’t allowed a barrel and has a 24.3% hard contact rate over his last three starts, but both a 12.2 K% and BB%. A 4.83 dERA and 4.87 xERA match his season 4.85 ERA with additional estimators half a run higher. Right-handed batters have smashed him for a .402 wOBA and .394 xwOBA since last year and that’s what you get when you face the Rays.
Opp wRC+: 103 (113 Home, 124 L7days)
DEF: -7.5
B30: 4.48
Aaron Civale has been shelled for 18 runs over his last 13.2 innings, but while he walked five Yankees in the first of those starts, he has an 8 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio over the last two and has only allowed four barrels over this stretch. His now 6.14 ERA is being driven by a 58.7 LOB% and with seven of his eight barrels leaving the yard, his worst non-FIP estimator is more than two runs better than actual results. Backed by an 18.2 K-BB% and 28.2 Z-O-Swing% that’s third best on the day Civale has a 78 grade sweeper (17.5%) and 60 grade curve (18.5%) leading his arsenal. Perhaps he should throw those pitches more, especially considering the White Sox are the fifth worst offense against sliders (-0.96 wSL/C).
Opp wRC+: 74 (66 Road, 69 L7days)
DEF: -0.5
B30: 4.59
This is another spot with a huge favorite, where I’m choosing to gain my exposure through the team total. (4.5 -125) The bats have been cooking and this predominantly right-handed lineup should have a field day here against Flexen and one of the worst defenses and bullpens in the league.
DFS Notes: The dome is not our favorite run environment and might be the most pitcher friendly one on the board, but Chris Flexen is out favorite run environment. Only the Giants have a higher run total than the Rays (5.25). It’s probably easier to list the batters below 110 wRC+ against RHP since last year in the projected lineup (Ramirez, Rortvedt and Caballero). I love Yandy (135 wRC+, .139 ISO), Isaac (148, .268) and Jonny (134, .190) in this spot, the latter your cheap OF value. Take a look above at what RHBs have done to Flexen since last year. Nicky Lopez’s cost is the only consideration in the Chicago lineup. Civale will likely be popular here, but I’m going underweight with some exposure in multis. He certainly could spike a big one here though.
Update 3:45 EST: Hitter friendly ump (Torres). So much for Lopez leadoff value. Love the Rays leaning into the RHB thing with nine of them. The Rays might be my favorite overall stack tonight.
Astros @ Yankees
SpAghettie Rodon…I think I had that for dinner last week. Arrighetti has issued to many walks (12.5%), but is also missing bats (25.9 K%, 14.2 SwStr%, 75.5 Z-Contact%), while not allowing a lot of hard contact (32.7% with just one barrel). A .438 BABIP is ridiculous. I don’t understand how he could miss so many bats with a 68 Stuff+ grade, but a 3.19 Bot ERA suggests he’s commanding the arsenal well despite the walks. His worst estimator is only a 4.24 dERA. This is a very confusing profile through four starts.
Opp wRC+: 123 (9.0 K-BB%, 15.3 HR/FB)
DEF: -2
B30: 3.96
The Orioles finally torched Carlos Rodon, homering three times on five barrels in Baltimore. He still struck out six without a walk and is up to a 13.8 K-BB%, but with a 47.7 Z-O-Swing% that’s better than only Peter Lambert today. Pitch modeling gives him a 116 Stuff+ grade, but just a 99 Pitching+. PitchingBot loves the heater (60 grade) that returns 1.8 RV/100 from Statcast. Estimators range from a 4.14 SIERA to a 4.94 dERA though.
Opp wRC+: 123 (16.2 K%, but 88 Road & 77 L7days)
DEF: 4.5
B30: 3.63
DFS Notes: Near 80 with a double digit wind out to center, this is the spot a lot of my bats are coming from tonight. Both pitchers appear very volatile and the Yankees have the fourth highest run total on the board (4.91), but the Astros (4.09) might be the side I’m more interested in for GPPs, even in single entry. I think Arrighetti does have some SP2 value at a very cheap price, due to the swing and miss in his game. It’s a very high risk play with better cheap options though. Judge (161 wRC+, .299 ISO v RHP sicne LY) is a top bat I’m most interested in paying up for. Arrighetti has had a reverse split that will regress some (RHBs .450, .371). Though he’s begun struggling, I like Volpe (82, .158) in the leadoff spot here. There’s decent to good value throughout this lineup. Bregman and Diaz are the only below average or even below a 120 wRC+ against LHP since last season among projected Astros. That includes Singleton, Dubon and Meyers too. All three have punished southpaws. RHBs are within six points of a .350 wOBA and xwOBA against Rodon since last year, while LHBs are above .310 too. Singleton (178, .303) is the sneaky first base play here, but I’m all over Houston bats here, some of the cheaper ones helping pay for tonight’s top pitcher, up next.
Update 4:20 EST: Shouldn't be surprised at Bregman and Diaz dropping in the lineup or Singleton hitting fifth if you read the above. Line movement towards Yankees should be a red flag, but I still think the Astros score some runs here. In fact, I'm borderline on going over their run total (4.5 +108).
Red Sox @ Braves
Nick Pivetta made just two starts before hitting the IL with an elbow issue, but struck out five of 16 in his only AAA rehab outing. Expect only slight limitations here. Projections around four and a quarter seem a bit pessimistic, considering not only the 29.3 K-BB% in his first two starts, but the 126 Stuff+ grade and second half breakout last year as well.
Opp wRC+: 108 (118 Home)
DEF: -4.5
B30: 3.75
Chris Sale has struck out at least six in all six starts, going seven innings in half, but failing to complete six in the other half. The 24.2 K-BB% is better than anyone expected and top 10 among qualifiers. Add in the 5.3% Barrels/BBE and 30.9 Hard% and estimators reaching only as high as a 3.01 FIP are well below his 3.44 ERA. A 111 Stuff+ grade and 3.08 Bot ERA without a single pitch graded worse than 53 support his success.
Opp wRC+: 109 (29.5 K%, 12.1 BB%, 9.0 HR/FB)
DEF: -4.5
B30: 3.63
DFS Notes: Temps in the 80s, but near 10 mph in from right. Chris Sale is the unquestioned top arm tonight and I’m certainly paying up for him in single entry. I can counter with a lower priced SP2 arm on DK. Tons of strikeouts in this Boston lineup that sits at 3.48 implied runs with only the White Sox lower (3.25). I’m not sure I want to attack an potentially undervalued Pivetta (not in a sense that I’m paying $8K for his first start back though) with an expensive and struggling Atlanta lineup (56 team wRC+ L7days). But, that also means lower ownership on the Braves likely too. LHBs are at .324/.316 against Pivetta since last year.
Update 4:35 EST: No Refsnyder for Boston. Wong bats second. So many bleepin' strikeouts in this lineup for Sale's revenge. He's gonna get 9 or 10.
Mariners @ Twins
Although he struck out just three of 22 Astros last time out, George Kirby has allowed a single run over his last 18 innings with a 29.9 K-BB% and is up to a 23.7 K-BB% on the season, having walked just two of his last 153 batters after walking two of his first three to start the season. Batters know he’s going to be around the plate and still can’t square him up (6.4% Barrels/BBE, 30 Hard%), producing a 2.85 xERA that’s below contact neutral estimators that are just above three. A 65.4 LOB% is responsible for his “elevated” 3.76 ERA. For Kirby, it’s command over stuff with a 108 Pitching+ grade and every offering receiving at least a 50 overall PB grade. The slider (19.4%, 65 grade) is particularly interesting here, as it’s his best graded pitch and also the one that the Twins have struggled most against (-0.95 wSI/C 26th MLB).
Opp wRC+: 101 (105 Home, 113 L7days)
DEF: -2.5
B30: 3.7
Chris Paddack has thrown at least six shutout innings in two of his last three starts (against a pair of Sox both red and white), after struggling against murderer’s row to start the season (@MIL, LAD, @BAL). He’s sitting on a competent 14.1 K-BB% with all of his estimators below a 4.78 ERA, ranging from a 3.90 xFIP to a 4.59 xERA. Pitch models disagree a bit here. Paddack has just a 95 Stuff+ grade and better 104 Pitching+ one, but PitchingBot gives the four-seam (41.6%) a 63 grade and the changeup (27.1%) a straight 70 out of 80!
Opp wRC+: 95 (29.1 K%)
DEF: 4.5
B30: 3.21
I’m siding with the Twins as home dogs (even money), despite my love for Kirby. Paddack has shown some upside recently, coinciding with Minnesota bats coming to life, while the Mariners remain in their slumber. Give them defensive and bullpen advantages too at home.
DFS Notes: Around 70 degrees, 10 mph in from left. Both teams at 3.75 implied runs. Kirby is my second favorite arm behind Sale, but in a slightly tougher spot. Although some of the cheaper platoon bats for Minnesota may still have some value in a contrarian way, I’m not interested in attacking Kirby for the most part. Paddack is my SP2 in a high upside spot for just $6.5K. I think Arrighetti is the only other pitcher in the same range I’d consider in a much worse spot with much more volatility. Rojas (184 wRC+ L30 days) is still a strong value from the leadoff spot, but Polanco (108 wRC+, .194 ISO v RHP since LY) and Raleigh (116, .225) are the only other Mariners I’m considering with LHBs at .375/.369 against Paddack since year.
Update 4:45 EST: No Jeffers. The great thing about Kirby here is low ownership expectation, considering Sale's massive appeal tonight. Modest 1.92% gain on Twins, who are now -108.
Giants @ Rockies
The Rockies love ground balls…Jordan Hicks is the bleepin’ guy they shoulda signed! He’s generated those at a 58.7% clip, though the 10.5 K-BB% leaves a bit to be desired. He’s failed to strike out more than he’s walked in three of seven, including two of his last three with four walks each. Even still, estimators only reach as high as a 4.06 SIERA with the lack of elevated contact. Pitch modeling loves the arsenal (119 Stuff+), even if he needs to improve the command (101 Pitching+)
Opp wRC+: 71 (28.3 K%, 68 Home, 28 L7days)
DEF: 6.5
B30: 3.75
Peter Lambert has been shelled for 10 runs over 6.1 innings in two starts, striking out just five of 35. His overall numbers (14 pen innings) include a mere 10 K-BB% with just 4.9% Barrels/BBE and estimators ranging from a 4.06 SIERA to a 4.26 FIP. Expect that to decline in a starting role though. The four-seam and changeup combo, which makes up 53.2% of his pitches grades below 40 on the 20-80 scale via PitchingBot. Batters from both sides exceed a .330 wOBA and xwOBA against him since last year.
Opp wRC+: 96 (98 Road)
DEF: -1
B30: 4.06
DFS Notes: Mid to low 50s with a double digit wind in from left field. The Giants are still top dogs tonight (5.74). Wade (134 wRC+, .161 ISO v RHP since LY) is still a GREAT value. LHBs have .391 wOBA/.367 xwOBA against Lambert since last season. I may otherwise be going a nit lighter on Giants tonigh, considering conditions, in favor of Yankee Stadium bats. Admittedly this is a more volatile lineup than I normally assemble in single entry. I’m not touching the other side of this matchup with awful weather, ground balls and walks. Doval threw 23 pitches last night, but was off for four days previously.
Update 4:45 EST: Blackmon back in the leadoff spot, also one of just two LHBs (RHBs < .260 wOBA/xwOBA against Hicks since last year, but most of that in relief). Blackmon (15.9%) and Diaz (23.3%) only Rox below 26% K rate against RHP since last year. Beginning to warm to Hicks here. Only like Paddack slightly more at this point. May not be around for the SFG lineup if not within next 30 minutes.
LEGEND
Opp wRC+ Opposing offense’s wRC+ against L/RHP this season
DEF Team Runs Prevented + projected lineup Fielding Run Value averaged
B30 Bullpen SIERA/xFIP/FIP average over the last 30 days (because there’s so much bullpen turnover)
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